FREE content: NHL Power Ratings 2019-2020 Scale: 0-100
In general money is mostly made with underdogs as NHL as a whole is more
equal than the bookies and bettors realize. 1x2 chance of winning hardly ever over 60%.
Long term numbers: Home 44% Draw 21% Visitors 35%. No team have a specifically high home advantage. Toronto perhaps slightly higher than say Arizona.
Useful peace of info: Penguins without Malkin clearly better value ! When Anze Kopitar was missing Kings have been a very bad bet.
Tampa Bay Lightning 62 Terrible play offs last year result-wise. Possibly even under-valued at the beginning of the season! Still the best team in the NHL
Boston Bruins 55
Toronto Maple Leafs 55 Likely to be even better than last year as young key players mature. The market seems to agree.
Florida Panthers 52
Montreal Canadians 52
Buffalo Sabres 43
Detroit Red Wings 42 Re-building will take a few more seasons
Ottawa Senators 38 Bad overall
The rest of the power ratings were available for the premium service subscribers.
26 September 2019 SKA - Salavat Ufa
Many reasons for this bet. Interestingly it’s very rare we have an overlay on a big & rich team like SKA. But This IS the case today. Normally you would get price of maybe 1.4. or even less for this kind of much for SKA. We have a classic over-reaction to the results of the beginning of the season.
Yes, SKA have changed a lot his season, As a results it will for sure take time before they reach maximum level. They lost their best player Gusev to NH, which is of course a big minus and overall they have weakened a bit from last season. Ska’s raw class is still very much higher than that of Ufa’s and we rank them 3rd best in KHL fir the season. It’s clear some (key) players have not been performing the level they are expected but SKA have also been a bit unlucky in some matches. Kemppainen. a bit surprisingly has been perhaps the biggest under-performer so far. Kagartlisky also probably has earned some of the heavy criticism given to him so far this season.
Ufa is able to defend pretty well and probably nothing like 6-1 is expected here. Interestingly SKA seems to play better and score more goals in week-end games, maybe to give extra pleasure to their (beer-drinking) fans! Maybe this is reflected in the odds too much today as bookies too are aware of this. Ufa relies a lot on their terrific goalie J. Metsola here. He will need to be at his very best if Ufa want to grab some points here. However so far this season Metsola has had a few pretty performances as well.
SKA have way more firepower here – even the 4rd line is capable of quality offensive play, Ufa, on the other hand really only have one really dangerous offensive line. It goes without sayin that on power play SKA is way more dangerous than the visitors here. Expect SKA to be irritated by surprising losses and win by a few goals here.
BET ON SKA to win, odds 1.63 with Coolbet.com, a bit less with most big bookies.
13 Jan Astana vs Omsk
We expected maybe little more from Barys against Torpedo especially in the away games. Of course they are known to be a lot stronger at home than in away games but here we go against them - even in Astana. The stakes get higher resulting in slightly smaller home advantage than previously this season. The series was very hard in the end eventhough Barys Astana as a better team managed to grind a victory in Game7. They had to work very hard, it was physical and tiring long series. Now Astana face perhaps the best team from who took very surprisingly qualified with a totallt dominant series win 4-0 against the defending champions Kazan. They should be really well rested, mentally prepared and hungry for more victories.The way Omsk crushed Kazan was very impressive. They don't even have to play as well here to beat Astana. Omsk are very well coached by ex-NHL coach Bob Hartley. Coach is factor often under-esimated by bookies and bettors alike. In the play offs even a small difference between the teams in this sector can be crucial. That is the case here.
For me Omsk is the better team (power rating Astana 51/100, Omsk 64/100). We think rested, confident Omsk are some 44% faves here.. Unibet with best odds of the well-known reliable bookies 2.45..
Bet on Omsk 2.45 with Unibet.com, estimation 44%