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April 25

April 25 Germany 2. Bundesliga

         Sandhausen vs Hannover        

​After backing Sandhausen in their previous match (paid pick)  at home to Hamburg we will have to go against them now, because it's just really weird how much the market has change for this match. Are Hamburg one goal better a team than Hannover? Surely not, perhaps a quarter goal, but definitely not more in our opinion. We said fair line for HSV win at Sandhausen was around 1.95 if HSV is a quarter goal better that would make Hannover-0.25 at the odds of 2.00 the fair line, but now we have +0 handicap now and that line underestimates Hannover who have really looked good lately. Sandhausen were indeed pretty impressive against Hamburg, this is still the same team, that was on the 17th place before that much and whose raw class is not that high so let's not overreact and on the contrary take advantage of the over-reaction and back the visitors here!

BET ON Hannover to win +0 asian handicap, odds 1.92 with 188bet. Check Sportmarket.com for a collection of low margin bookies who might offer even better odds than 1.92!

Probability estimation 57%

May 07
 
Germany 2. Bundesliga
Hannover vs Darmstadt
 

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Hübers will be back for this match which is good news for the hosts especially when Franke is out. Hubers will probably play with Elez. A good duo. Hannover have been a bit unlucky lately in terms of expected goals and have made some foolish mistakes too especially in defense and not being able to make the most of their chances. However, their are a good team by raw class and start as solid faves here. They have been playing well at home ( of course the home advantage is limited though) Darmstadt on the other hand are nothing special and allow a lot of goals. If the hosts get their defense in order this won't be an easy match for the visitors to score in. Darmstadt have some injury problems, with a lot of long-term injuries and they would need their best line-up here to fight for the win! Berko and Kempe are questionable and probably won't play at least the full 90 minutes.

 

To sum up, we have a better team at home against a limited visiting team with injury issues and bad defense. However, just taking a look at the injuries is of course not enough to win in betting, but the odds are effected too much by Hannover's performances latest results. As mentioned they are a classy team and should be able to play a lot better than seen during the whole season so far. They have closer to 50% of winning here. Odds of 2.32 available with 888sport.com who also offer tasty bonuses and free bets all the time.

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